Commercial production is leaving the coasts. XR’s payments data tracks where it is going, how fast, and why - from 2019 through the first half of 2026.
Summary
XR’s Where Ads Are Made report tracks how commercial production has shifted from 2019 through the first half of 2026, and why the industry is becoming less concentrated in traditional coastal hubs for shooting locations.
The data points to a clear driver: economics. As marketing budgets tighten and timelines shrink, brands and agencies are turning to markets with competitive incentives, lower costs, and reliable production infrastructure.
While California and New York still lead in overall production share, both are feeling the impact of broader shifts in the industry. Data through H1 2026 shows the ad production slowdown that began during COVID is now levelling off, with total production volume down just 2% year-over-year - California holding near 42% share, New York continuing to lose ground at 14.2%, and Georgia emerging as one of the period’s more notable gainers.
Part 1
California and New York still lead commercial production, but regional markets are gaining share.
California still anchors two-fifths of the market. Everything else is moving.
Share of national commercial production, H1 2026. Equal tiles, so every state carries the same visual weight regardless of land area.
| State | H1 2026 |
|---|
States not listed were not reported in this cut. That is different from a share near zero, and the map shows it differently.
Georgia is the only state in this cut that gained share.
FY 2025 → H1 2026, percentage share of national commercial production.
| State | FY 2025 | H1 2026 | Δ pts |
|---|
Illinois: a two-point share story hiding a fifty-percent volume story.
Long the traditional third-largest hub, Illinois has eroded faster than New York on a relative basis. Share and volume are different measures with different denominators, so they are shown on separate tracks rather than forced onto one axis.
The market contracted first. The redistribution happened inside a smaller box.
National commercial production volume, indexed to 2019. Frames are scaled by area, so the side length is the square root of the ratio.
Part 2
Different types of production are moving for different reasons.
California still anchors the most complex shoots.
Four in ten commercials involving on-camera production take place in the Golden State.
The fastest growth rates sit on the smallest bases.
Every percentage change below is shown with the base it was computed on. These are real gains - and they are not the same size as they sound.
Method & sources
Production share and volume figures are drawn from XR’s own payments dataset, which covers talent and crew payments across commercial productions in the United States. Share is calculated as a state’s portion of national commercial production; volume is the absolute count of productions. The two are reported separately throughout, because they move independently.
Two figures in this report are external and attributed inline: Los Angeles filming levels from FilmLA, and feature production trends from The Hollywood Reporter.
One approximation. Illinois’ H1 2026 share is stated as approximately 5%. Every other share figure in this report is exact. It is flagged wherever it appears.
XR Pay handles talent, crew and entertainment payments across commercial and entertainment productions - which is why we can see where the work is actually happening.